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Thread: Who should I take #1 overall?

  1. #31
    Join Date
    Oct 2005
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    Elk Rapids, Mi.
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    13,544

    Re: Who should I take #1 overall?

    Quote Originally Posted by Roadrunneragoka View Post
    I have 10/10 scouting for the guy I took #1 overall. Here are his ratings with full scouting after one flip:

    Actual: 96/47/66/80/32/24/67/58/52
    Potential: 97/68/76/99/36/25/85/67/54

    Wow, what a monster, especially with that 99 slugging paired with he 97 discipline. I'll let him sit in LM one more year, as I won't truly need him until next year. Then, he will be my new 3rd baseman. Thanks for helping me pick this stud! Excited to watch and see what he can do in his career!
    did you have 10/10 scouting when you made the initial post?

  2. #32

    Re: Who should I take #1 overall?

    Quote Originally Posted by Roadrunneragoka View Post
    I have 10/10 scouting for the guy I took #1 overall. Here are his ratings with full scouting after one flip:

    Actual: 96/47/66/80/32/24/67/58/52
    Potential: 97/68/76/99/36/25/85/67/54

    Wow, what a monster, especially with that 99 slugging paired with he 97 discipline. I'll let him sit in LM one more year, as I won't truly need him until next year. Then, he will be my new 3rd baseman. Thanks for helping me pick this stud! Excited to watch and see what he can do in his career!
    Wow yeah he is an absolute beast. Could start right away.

    If you are going to wait though, I would not play him at 3B. He really should be either C or DH. Just saw you have a very good C already. Then I would leave him in RF if you couldn't play him at either of those 2 positions. RF gets very few chances so RA doesn't mean as much, especially if you make your home RF a shorter fence. 3B is a hole, but he is a definite liability there.

    TBH, I would bring him up right away and play him in RF over Phillips. Keep Ayala at 3B but find a new future 3B elsewhere.

  3. #33
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    Montreal
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    542

    Re: Who should I take #1 overall?

    aside from the question of logarithmic ratings, 1 point of SL is more valuable than 1 point in any other offensive category because the run environment is so double-play heavy. You can easily see this by comparing the xRAAs of two players with similar OPS/baserunning but different SLs.
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  4. #34
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    Montreal
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    Re: Who should I take #1 overall?

    so good pick basically. though I would've gone with #4 because lack of defensive value really tanks a player (your guy will probably put up ~70 xRAA but lose maybe 20 runs defensively, so he'll be worth around 7 WAR in a good year, #4 can easily hit 10 WAR if that FI develops)
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  5. #35
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    Aug 2004
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    Re: Who should I take #1 overall?

    I don't disagree with the analysis of DI/BA vs SL. In short, SL is more capable of producing runs by itself. Simple, and obvious.

    But, a great overall lineup consists of OBP guys (DI/BA being equal in this regards) and sluggers (SL). A well made lineup of 9 batters - a mix of these (2) types of elite players is going to score you a ton runs. Even 6 players, with 3 elite defenders (but offensive liabilities) at SS/2B/3B... will make you a contender in any division.
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  6. #36
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    Aug 2004
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    Re: Who should I take #1 overall?

    So who will be better overall?

    2) https://www.csfbl.com/player/4964335/view
    (3.5 scouted)
    Actuals: 79/65/99/59/49/34/79/60/72
    Potentials: 78/83/98/73/56/24/79/63/83

    3) https://www.csfbl.com/player/4964348/view
    (10 scout)
    Actual: 96/47/66/80/32/24/67/58/52
    Potential: 97/68/76/99/36/25/85/67/54

    4) https://www.csfbl.com/player/4964361/view
    (3.5 scout)
    Actuals: 45/57/46/90/46 EN: 80
    Potentials: 49/93/61/94/62 EN: 89

    My vote goes to #3. Although, I agreed #4 would also be close. My main argument is that #3 will have the far better career than #2.
    Last edited by SlickLaptop; October 20, 2020 at 01:41 PM.

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