Page 1 of 12 12311 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 113

Thread: 2131 Season Thread

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jun 2007
    Location
    Dayton, KY
    Posts
    25,490

    2131 Season Thread

    What does everyone think of their teams going into this season?

    I think Lincoln pulled off some key trades that give us a great rotation while adding some needed pop to our lineup. We still have some great MI rangy players, and have Wake getting ready to come up in a year or so.

    I'm really excited for this season. My prediction is that that feeling goes away around mid-April when I'm 3-12.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    Location
    Arlington Heights, IL
    Posts
    6,016

    Re: 2132 Season Thread

    Maybe let's see how the 2131 season plays out before we start predicting the 2132 season?



  3. #3

    Re: 2132 Season Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by RedsFan74 View Post
    What does everyone think of their teams going into this 2131 season?

    I think Lincoln pulled off some key trades that give us a great rotation while adding some needed pop to our lineup. We still have some great MI rangy players, and have Wake getting ready to come up in a year or so.

    I'm really excited for this season. My prediction is that that feeling goes away around mid-April when I'm 3-12.
    2131 Long Preview (better predictions by Rent in April)

    Reds,

    Worcester is going to win it all soon and bring a championship to Long. Just eyeballing Long LM potential call ups and Active rosters, I’d say the wild card spot is a race between your Lincoln squad and Fighting (almost unheard of that MLK and Rent kept out of the playoffs in the same season).

    Gowanus and Fort Worth have about $7M in prospects probably need to cook for another year with some impressive 22U in LM. I’m no threat.
    .

  4. #4

    Re: 2132 Season Thread

    Here's a general "state of the franchises" going into the season, ranking every team.

    Team2131 WARRest of CareerNext 3 SeasonsWeighted WAR (roster)Weighted WAR (+ draft picks)
    Gowanus Canals21221
    Worcester Rocketeers16112
    Sun Prairie Cardinals172833
    Elgin Spam Eaters2432384
    Gatlinburg Tramcars16815135
    Fort Worth Outlaws135946
    Mexico Cows12101277
    Cuenca Escobazos114558
    Nassau Flying Dutchmen101711159
    Frisco Express2312211210
    Tempe Hot Heads159131011
    Lincoln Top Hats873612
    DPRK Great Leaders1919202113
    Detroit Collateral Damage7116914
    SLO Wafflers2113181815
    Humboldt Hydro914101616
    Braggadocio Blowhards1815191917
    Seattle Golden Bears2221242418
    Fighting Physicists51871419
    Turda Hurlers31641120
    Tuktoyaktuk Wolverines1420171721
    Appalachia Board Sweepers2022222322
    Minnetonka Saints423162023
    Vista Cruisers624142224

    Don't pay too much attention to the first column - it's literally adding up all of the players on the entire roster right now regardless of position or starting spots. So a team with the best 15 DH's in the league and nothing else would be treated the same way as a team with starters lined up in every spot. Gowanus does really well in that metric because I have a lot of depth that I think is capable of adding some value, but having 20 players who I think could put up positive WAR doesn't mean as much in reality. The same logic applies to every other column as well but I think it's felt the strongest in the first one. Also, the gap between Worcester at #1 and Gowanus at #2 is about the same as the gap between Gowanus and SLO at #21.

    The last column is the "weighted WAR" that I use for my trade value rankings. The first version only includes players currently on rosters (as do the other columns), while the last column includes the value of picks for both this year and next year. That's kind of experimental and I didn't include any draft pick trades for next year yet so big grains of salt. Anyway, this is all pretty rough, but it might be kind of cool to see.

    So teams like Sun Prairie and Elgin are looking quite poor this season, but SPC should be on pace to make the playoffs within the next few seasons, while Elgin is also eventually going to be good - although their timeline is a bit longer. Vista/Minny are more or less all-in on this year, as the seasons after this one start looking really shaky by my eye. Teams like Appy/Seattle/Brag are in kind of no-man's land, while teams like Gowanus/Worcester and kinda Cuenca/Lincoln are set up for more success in both the short and long term.

    Edit: also this assumes that no one is screwing up draft picks or even picking with less than full scouting. So the last column is probably weighting picks a bit too heavily vs reality. That helps explain, for instance, why having no 1st rounder this year dumps Lincoln from 6th to 12th, although also the margins are pretty tight for most teams.
    Last edited by rentforfree2790; September 9, 2020 at 10:43 AM.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jun 2007
    Location
    Dayton, KY
    Posts
    25,490
    Quote Originally Posted by rentforfree2790 View Post
    Here's a general "state of the franchises" going into the season, ranking every team.

    Team2131 WARRest of CareerNext 3 SeasonsWeighted WAR (roster)Weighted WAR (+ draft picks)
    Gowanus Canals21221
    Worcester Rocketeers16112
    Sun Prairie Cardinals172833
    Elgin Spam Eaters2432384
    Gatlinburg Tramcars16815135
    Fort Worth Outlaws135946
    Mexico Cows12101277
    Cuenca Escobazos114558
    Nassau Flying Dutchmen101711159
    Frisco Express2312211210
    Tempe Hot Heads159131011
    Lincoln Top Hats873612
    DPRK Great Leaders1919202113
    Detroit Collateral Damage7116914
    SLO Wafflers2113181815
    Humboldt Hydro914101616
    Braggadocio Blowhards1815191917
    Seattle Golden Bears2221242418
    Fighting Physicists51871419
    Turda Hurlers31641120
    Tuktoyaktuk Wolverines1420171721
    Appalachia Board Sweepers2022222322
    Minnetonka Saints423162023
    Vista Cruisers624142224

    Don't pay too much attention to the first column - it's literally adding up all of the players on the entire roster right now regardless of position or starting spots. So a team with the best 15 DH's in the league and nothing else would be treated the same way as a team with starters lined up in every spot. Gowanus does really well in that metric because I have a lot of depth that I think is capable of adding some value, but having 20 players who I think could put up positive WAR doesn't mean as much in reality. The same logic applies to every other column as well but I think it's felt the strongest in the first one. Also, the gap between Worcester at #1 and Gowanus at #2 is about the same as the gap between Gowanus and SLO at #21.

    The last column is the "weighted WAR" that I use for my trade value rankings. The first version only includes players currently on rosters (as do the other columns), while the last column includes the value of picks for both this year and next year. That's kind of experimental and I didn't include any draft pick trades for next year yet so big grains of salt. Anyway, this is all pretty rough, but it might be kind of cool to see.

    So teams like Sun Prairie and Elgin are looking quite poor this season, but SPC should be on pace to make the playoffs within the next few seasons, while Elgin is also eventually going to be good - although their timeline is a bit longer. Vista/Minny are more or less all-in on this year, as the seasons after this one start looking really shaky by my eye. Teams like Appy/Seattle/Brag are in kind of no-man's land, while teams like Gowanus/Worcester and kinda Cuenca/Lincoln are set up for more success in both the short and long term.

    Edit: also this assumes that no one is screwing up draft picks or even picking with less than full scouting. So the last column is probably weighting picks a bit too heavily vs reality. That helps explain, for instance, why having no 1st rounder this year dumps Lincoln from 6th to 12th, although also the margins are pretty tight for most teams.
    I was wondering how I went from being in the top 1/3rd of the league in every respect to barely being in the top half towards the end happened... ROFL
    No man can be truly free whose liberty is dependent upon the thought, feeling and action of others, and who has himself no means in his own hands for guarding, protecting, defending and maintaining that liberty -Frederick Douglass

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by rentforfree2790 View Post
    Here's a general "state of the franchises" going into the season, ranking every team.

    Team2131 WARRest of CareerNext 3 SeasonsWeighted WAR (roster)Weighted WAR (+ draft picks)
    Gowanus Canals21221
    Worcester Rocketeers16112
    Sun Prairie Cardinals172833
    Elgin Spam Eaters2432384
    Gatlinburg Tramcars16815135
    Fort Worth Outlaws135946
    Mexico Cows12101277
    Cuenca Escobazos114558
    Nassau Flying Dutchmen101711159
    Frisco Express2312211210
    Tempe Hot Heads159131011
    Lincoln Top Hats873612
    DPRK Great Leaders1919202113
    Detroit Collateral Damage7116914
    SLO Wafflers2113181815
    Humboldt Hydro914101616
    Braggadocio Blowhards1815191917
    Seattle Golden Bears2221242418
    Fighting Physicists51871419
    Turda Hurlers31641120
    Tuktoyaktuk Wolverines1420171721
    Appalachia Board Sweepers2022222322
    Minnetonka Saints423162023
    Vista Cruisers624142224

    Don't pay too much attention to the first column - it's literally adding up all of the players on the entire roster right now regardless of position or starting spots. So a team with the best 15 DH's in the league and nothing else would be treated the same way as a team with starters lined up in every spot. Gowanus does really well in that metric because I have a lot of depth that I think is capable of adding some value, but having 20 players who I think could put up positive WAR doesn't mean as much in reality. The same logic applies to every other column as well but I think it's felt the strongest in the first one. Also, the gap between Worcester at #1 and Gowanus at #2 is about the same as the gap between Gowanus and SLO at #21.

    The last column is the "weighted WAR" that I use for my trade value rankings. The first version only includes players currently on rosters (as do the other columns), while the last column includes the value of picks for both this year and next year. That's kind of experimental and I didn't include any draft pick trades for next year yet so big grains of salt. Anyway, this is all pretty rough, but it might be kind of cool to see.

    So teams like Sun Prairie and Elgin are looking quite poor this season, but SPC should be on pace to make the playoffs within the next few seasons, while Elgin is also eventually going to be good - although their timeline is a bit longer. Vista/Minny are more or less all-in on this year, as the seasons after this one start looking really shaky by my eye. Teams like Appy/Seattle/Brag are in kind of no-man's land, while teams like Gowanus/Worcester and kinda Cuenca/Lincoln are set up for more success in both the short and long term.

    Edit: also this assumes that no one is screwing up draft picks or even picking with less than full scouting. So the last column is probably weighting picks a bit too heavily vs reality. That helps explain, for instance, why having no 1st rounder this year dumps Lincoln from 6th to 12th, although also the margins are pretty tight for most teams.
    I’d like to switch divisions. Im excited to see what my team will be able to do in a couple of years, but staring up at Gowanus and Worcester is depressing

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Location
    FL
    Posts
    52,905

    Re: 2132 Season Thread

    Mexico is questioning whether great defense can make bad pitching good.

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Jun 2007
    Location
    Dayton, KY
    Posts
    25,490

    Re: 2132 Season Thread

    Lincoln is sad that high profile trade Martinez opened up the season with a golden sombrero...front office is on fire ready to sell everything and call the season a loss.

    Golden Sombrero games need to be added to achievements...lol
    No man can be truly free whose liberty is dependent upon the thought, feeling and action of others, and who has himself no means in his own hands for guarding, protecting, defending and maintaining that liberty -Frederick Douglass

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Location
    Nashville, TN
    Posts
    16,745

    Re: 2132 Season Thread

    that's what i was going for - no man's land. it's all ladies!! come on down

  10. #10

    Re: 2132 Season Thread

    It might be a little too early to do this, a lot of teams have scrubs in their rotations/bullpens still. But an early look into how I rate the current starting lineups for teams:

    RankTeamOffenseDefensePitchingReg WPlayoff Roster W
    1Worcester Rocketeers50.024.4136.3106.8116.9
    2Minnetonka Saints18.08.795.995.598.2
    3Mexico Cows-55.5119.242.194.998.5
    4Turda Hurlers49.0-3.858.992.398.4
    5Gowanus Canals75.617.213.192.092.3
    6Detroit Collateral Damage30.823.025.589.486.8
    7Fighting Physicists-3.820.851.688.598.7
    8Humboldt Hydro-31.614.553.384.489.1
    9Lincoln Top Hats-26.721.140.984.380.2
    10Nassau Flying Dutchmen56.65.5-40.882.183.3
    11Vista Cruisers37.219.1-38.081.879.6
    12Tuktoyaktuk Wolverines67.5-20.0-51.479.378.0
    13SLO Wafflers59.0-27.9-43.078.476.9
    14Tempe Hot Heads-18.329.6-28.577.676.0
    15Cuenca Escobazos9.6-15.8-35.674.872.9
    16Appalachia Board Sweepers-7.4-44.2-7.172.869.9
    17Gatlinburg Tramcars-33.5-34.82.371.771.6
    18Fort Worth Outlaws30.7-63.8-53.570.371.5
    19Braggadocio Blowhards-33.3-54.27.470.166.8
    20Frisco Express-17.06.9-72.970.066.6
    21DPRK Great Leaders-81.338.0-34.369.764.2
    22Seattle Golden Bears-67.6-33.07.268.063.2
    23Sun Prairie Cardinals-4.4-22.6-96.266.064.7
    24Elgin Spam Eaters-103.5-28.0-33.659.355.9

    Mexico already had the best defense in the league by miles this year, adding Oneal and Bourgoin means they actually match up very evenly against Minny in a playoff series. Worcester has a scrub in their rotation and some of their best pitchers in the bullpen and my projections still have them as the best pitching by miles. Once they fix those issues it'll be an even larger gap. My offense will probably not end up #1 and I have no offensive stars at all, but I do think I have the deepest 1-9 lineup in the league.

    Teams that still need to adjust or improve their lineups will get boosts once they do so, while teams that have already promoted everyone/made all their changes (like Gowanus) will fall back.

Page 1 of 12 12311 ... LastLast

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •