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Thread: AS' 1987 Season Preview

  1. #1
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    AS' 1987 Season Preview

    Major League

    Team (1986)WL RS RA Diff
    Nicaragua 89 71 785 674 +111
    Japan 88 72 705 647 +58
    Argentina 85 75 792 715 +77
    USA 80 80 677 661 +16
    Australia 79 81 765 717 +48
    Israel 65 95 662 748 -86

    A lot of parity in the second year after promotion. Nicaragua made the playoffs for the second time in the cycle, and Argentina barely missed after a strong first year. Japan turned out to limit the most runs and made the playoffs for the first time, while Israel seems the only sure bet to relegate this cycle.

    WHAT ABOUT NOW

    Japan
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Dennis BlackwoodRookieCall-up1940 3rd round pickReplaces Patrick McKinney

    --Japan called up 24 year old Dennis Blackwood to replace Patrick McKinney, and has a deep staff and a deadly lineup with fantastic defense up the middle. Behind Hyo-Jun Lim, though, they don't have a really playoff worthy starter, and have defensive holes in the outfield. They'll still be a competitive team but I don't see them getting over the hump and winning a pennant.

    Argentina
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    George Warner11 year vetFA pickup.940 career OPSIncredible pickup for Argentina
    Mike Torioni14 year vetFA pickup4 time Cy Young winnerGreat addition to starting staff
    Marvin RaffelRookieCall-up1943 1st Round pick (#15)Strong rookie bat

    --Argentina made some great free agent signings and are certainly looking to make it back to the playoffs. They replaced longtime C Jacko Bainbridge with rookie Marvin Raffel. They picked up former MVP George Warner to bolster an already deadly lineup (the 8 spot is as good as many teams' 3rd spot), and added 4-time Cy Young winner Mike Torioni to bolster the staff. They are going to hit a ton of balls out of the park and get on base all the time, and even though Torioni is declining at age 38, he's still able to really strengthen the staff. Like Japan, though, they are weak defensively outside the middle infield positions and don't have a top notch pitching staff.

    Nicaragua
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Nicholas Dye rookie 1943 2nd rounder (#48)   Rookie brought up as a long reliever

    --Nicaragua brought up a rookie that won't have a ton of impact. They are the champs still, and have a very different style team than some of the other Major League teams. A very OBP-skewed team and an extremely strong top 3 of Dennis Martinez, Vincente Padilla, and George Rector could propel them to the top again.

    Israel
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Frank PutinRookie1943 2nd Round Pick Rookie power pitcher who will crack the rotation
    Peter James9 year vetFA signingCareer 3.86 ERAWill step in as the ace of Israel's staff
    Giacomo CricciRookieFA signing1943 2nd round pick (#45)A Czech roster casualty, he'll get starter time with Israel
    SS Felix Warren Rookie1945 1st Round Pick Warren is a good looking prospect, but he's still considerably off his potentials
    RF Eury PerezRookieTrade with Dominican Republic for 2nd round picks Strong OBP outfielder

    --Israel is looking to make a push this season and have a shot at avoiding relegation. They have some strong bats and will get on base, but their defense is both young and suspect. James and Cricci were both Czech roster casualties, and they will step in as major starters for Israel, but the staff is high CO and doesn't have any real playoff caliber pitcher. Israel did acquire several good picks, but they will probably not be super competitive in this division.


    Team USA
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Tokko Kuno 1 time AS Traded for 1948 1st and players 3.89 career ERA Power arm traded from Czech Republic
    CF Helmut Schmidt 6 year vet FA signing .757 career OPS Schmidt is a decent outfield option who will get on base
    LF Allan Robinson 3 year vet FA signing .717 career OPS Robinson has better batting ratings than his stats show, as he as only one full season under his belt

    --USA made some moves to bolster their lineup for another run before their time runs out. The pitching staff will be bolstered by Kuno, who is coming off a career year. They still have a dangerous offense led by superstar SS Luis Aparicio, but the staff is aging and we will see if they can hold up to the Major League pressure.

    Australia
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    CF Justin Robinson 28 year old rookie FA signing 30 career games Robinson is a speedy CF who will hopefully get on base but has not been proven
    1B Stephen SuitsRookie 1936 second round pick (#46) 97 GL Suits will warm the bench and be a good defensive backup

    --Australia moved from Spain under new ownership and has a strong OBP offense. They still have good top 2 in the rotation but are on the decline and are likely looking to just push enough to avoid relegation and rebuild. We will see which direction they decide to go.

    And now for my prediction of this years standings:
    Nicaragua 92-68
    Argentina 90-70
    Japan 85-75
    USA 84-76
    Australia 75-85
    Israel 70-90
    Last edited by AndreltonSimmons; June 18, 2019 at 11:30 AM.
    "The other team could make trouble for us if they beat us" - Yogi Berra

    CWS:USC Trojans - 2 for 4 WS winners
    WBC: Czech Republic Nároďak - 1 for 4 WS winners, back to back promotions (2x), 0 relegations
    EP: Terramuggus Terracotta Terrapins
    GOAT 4: Twin Peaks Tatas

    --
    Former WS winning teams:
    Serengeti Wildebeests (MONEYBALL)
    K-Mart Blackbelts (LEG)

  2. #2
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    Re: AS' 1987 Season Preview

    Almost Famous

    TeamWL RS RA Diff
    England 98 62 703 556 +147
    Italy 85 75 645 638 +7
    Greece 84 76 554 561 -7
    Wales 81 79 667 723 -56
    Scotland 80 80 590 560 +30
    Puerto Rico 61 99 622 777 -155

    England outclassed the rest of the division, despite the loss to Italy in the playoffs. Italy, however, is on the upswing and may threaten for a division title this year. Puerto Rico seems the only sure bet to be relegated, but there is a logjam at the middle of the pack right now. Will anyone make a move, or will they be content to battle for second place?

    WHAT ABOUT NOW

    Greece
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Stephen Brannon2 time all-starTrade with Iceland for first round pick and Kyriakou3.15 career ERABrannon will step in to contribute quality innings for Greece

    --Greece made some low level moves, but the big one was Stephen Brannon. He’ll provide quality innings, but the Greek defense is not really well set up to take advantage of his groundball tendencies. They have a high CN/BA offense, but don’t hit it out, so I don’t see them getting out of the middle of the pack this season.

    Wales
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments

    --Wales released rookie catcher John Comstock and are clearly on the rebuild. They play a terrible defensive field that can’t take advantage of their strong FI pitching, and though they still have a decent offense led by Rhydian Pryderi, they are certainly in danger of heading toward relegation.

    Puerto Rico
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    DH Marco VazquezRookie1946 2nd round pick (#25) Vazquez was brought up early for cap reasons and is underdeveloped but he’ll be a decent addition
    SS Luis ZinkRookie1945 1st round pick (#2)98 RA/95 ARZink is immediately arguably the best defensive SS in the league
    2B Jacob CaseRookie1946 1st round pick (#1)97 SP/94 RACase is a great defensive 2B with top notch speed

    --Puerto Rico brought up the two rookies in Case and Zink who will turn that middle infield defense from a black hole to one of the best in the league. They have a young core 4 that also includes LF Raymond Jacobsen and P Roy Rivera, but they are still a ways away from having the pieces around them to compete. Can they make it to .500 this year, though? It’s a legitimate possibility. Avoiding relegation will be a lot tougher with the hole they are in.

    England
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    2B Victor KingRookie1943 1st Round pick (#10)99 GL King has a nice glove but not the range to stick at second

    --England made some low level moves and brought up some minors players who might contribute a little. They have a deadly lineup that can hit for average and out of the park, a team of gold gloves, and some solid pitchers. The team range is a little low and they haven’t won a division series since 1938, but I think they could get over the hump this year.

    Scotland
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Benjamin McIntyreRookie1943 1st round pick (#8)94 BA/86 SLMcIntyre has a great bat and decent defense and will be a great addition to the middle of Scotland’s lineup

    --Scotland made some cap moves and brought up a great looking rookie. They still have the best team range in the league and a lineup that hits well for average. McIntyre is their best power hitter, though, and the bullpen is riddled with holes. Middle of the pack seems to be in the cards this year.

    Italy
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    CF Donnie PeliRookie1945 1st round pick (#19)93 BAPeli is a nice looking bat
    C Robert RagioniRookie1942 1st round pick (#24)87 BA Ragioni could be a decent bat but he’ll probably warm the bench his first year
    1B Ryan Mitchell2 time MVPtrade with Czech Republic for first round pick and Cricchicareer .909 OPSMitchell is 33 but he hit a career high 48 HR last year and is a huge addition
    LF Melvin RobinsonAll-starFA signingcareer .818 OPSRobinson is a decent bat who will join his former teammate Mitchell on a new team

    -- Italy made a big time move for Mitchell, and has a deadly lineup that can do everything. They also boast arguably the best 3 man rotation in the league in French, Galloway, and Pruzzo. However, outside of Shannon Guest at 2B, they have major defensive holes that could be their Achilles heel. They’ll still score a ton of runs and have a shot at winning the division again.

    And now for my prediction of this year’s standings:

    Italy 95-65
    England 92-68
    Scotland 85-75
    Greece 84-76
    Puerto Rico 78-82
    Wales 70-90
    Last edited by AndreltonSimmons; June 19, 2019 at 03:03 PM.

  3. #3
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    Re: AS' 1987 Season Preview

    Bench Warmers

    TeamWL RS RA Diff
    Czech Republic 90 70 684 546 +138
    Cuba 89 71 642 581 +61
    Vatican City 88 72 585 542 +43
    New Caledonia 87 73 623 629 -6
    Russia 84 76 686 623 +63
    Republica Dominicana 56 104 593 768 -175

    Vatican City barely missed the playoffs due to an epic 13-1 ending for the season by the Czech Republic. They are still strongly in first place in the division, with a very tight race for second with the four teams behind them. Dominican Republic is in a hole so far back there is almost no way they will not be able to avoid relegation for the second cycle in a row.

    WHAT ABOUT NOW

    D.R.
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Geronimo ValdespinRookie1943 1st round pick (#4)89 FI/100 COValdespin is well developed for 21 and will be a big time contributor
    Ervin SantanaRookie1944 1st round pick (#2)94 FI/95 SYSantana is a 23 year old stud who will be D.R.’s ace for years
    C Cesar DevarezRookie1942 2nd round pick (#31)98 DI/93 ARNice rookie catcher that does his job
    1B Alberto HerreraRookie1942 1st round pick (#9)98 DIAnother OBP rookie with a solid glove at 1B
    SS Elizardo CopadoRookie1945 1st round pick (#3)97 BACopardo has a great bat, but he doesn’t have the defense to play a good SS
    2B Rafael BelliardRookie1946 1st round pick (#6)88 RABelliard will be the best defensive player on the Dominican roster

    --A bevy of talented youngsters, the product of several years of tanking, made their way into the lineup for the Dominican Republic this year. They also dealt away Gabriel Kovar for another 1st round pick, and have the #1 overall pick this year. The young guns will all make a big difference in both the lineup and staff, but the defense is still awfully suspect, and after 5+ years of picking in the top 10, there’s really no way they avoid relegation again this cycle and have to deal with an even smaller cap.

    New Caledonia
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    RF John MagnusonRookieFA signing78 career gamesMagnuson is adefensive corner outfielder signed for cap reasons

    --N.C. had to release star George Warner for cap reasons, but they’ll be in the thick of things again this year. They have a star-studded staff and a high OBP offense with guys who can also hit it out well. They have defense up the middle as well, and though they still have some holes, will not be an easy out.

    Vatican City
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Felix TrinitatisRookie1944 2nd round pick (#33) Trinitatus was brought up for cap reasons and is significantly under developed
    Aaron PriceRookieFA signing83 SYPrice is a young arm who will have an impact in the bullpen

    --Vatican City had to make cap moves and did so with mainly low level additions. They still have a good team and an absolutely incredible staff led by Anakletos Achaea, but their eggs are primarily in the pitching basket and they will struggle on the side of scoring runs (last in the division last year and will be close this year).

    Czech Republic
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Terry Bills2 year vettrade with Israel for second round pickcareer 5.04 ERABills is a lefty reliever
    Johnatan Monti3 year vettrade with a 1st rounder from USA for Tokko Kunocareer ERA 4.56Monti will attempt to fill a rotation hole
    1B Gabriel Kovar2 year vettrade for first round pick with D.R.career .711 OPSKovar is a good 1B with a decent bat who will fill Ryan Mitchell’s hole
    C Honza NemecRookietrade with USA for Pavel Hornik91 BA/98 ARNemec is a big bat catcher
        

    --Czech Republic had to make cost cutting moves and dealt some stars for picks. Neither the rotation nor the lineup will be as good this year but the team was starting to age and they are looking to stock up a little while still remaining competitive in the division. They still have a strong defense and staff that punches above their weight.

    Russia
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    2B James HeisenbergRookie1941 2nd round pick (#32)91 RA/84 GLRussia stole this guy in the second round of the 1941 draft-he’ll be a great defender

    --Russia made a strong call-up in Heisenberg and made some small cap moves. He will be a great addition for their FI-heavy staff. Their lineup hits well for average and out of the park, but they are terrible at getting on base. This team has some very solid players but not a ton of studs, and aren’t well rounded. This could be their year, or they could end up 4th or 5th once again.

    Cuba
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    2B Daryl AndersonRookie1946 1st round pick (#14)93 GLAnderson has a good glove but has a weak bat
    LF George FormanRookie1945 1st round pick (#20)88 SLForman is a slugger who isn’t great at much else and will be a decent bench bat

    --Cuba brought up two decent rookies. They have a competitive team (never count out Roman Spero, who should have won MVP last year) but have glaring weaknesses in the lineup around him and Kenneth Gutierrez and in the field that showed up in the playoffs last year. They also have a fantastic rotation headlined by Kelly Williams and will definitely be in the thick of this division again.

    And now for my prediction of this year’s standings:

    New Caledonia 90-70
    Cuba 86-74
    Russia 85-75
    Czech Republic 84-76
    Dominican Republic 82-78
    Vatican City 78-82
    Last edited by AndreltonSimmons; June 19, 2019 at 04:21 PM.
    "The other team could make trouble for us if they beat us" - Yogi Berra

    CWS:USC Trojans - 2 for 4 WS winners
    WBC: Czech Republic Nároďak - 1 for 4 WS winners, back to back promotions (2x), 0 relegations
    EP: Terramuggus Terracotta Terrapins
    GOAT 4: Twin Peaks Tatas

    --
    Former WS winning teams:
    Serengeti Wildebeests (MONEYBALL)
    K-Mart Blackbelts (LEG)

  4. #4
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    Re: AS' 1987 Season Preview

    Moneyball

    TeamWL RS RA Diff
    Iceland 91 69 652 591 +61
    Germany 86 74 615 582 +33
    Venezuela 75 85 649 660 -11
    Holland 69 91 592 562 -170
    Canada 68 92 592 710 -118
    South Korea62 98 676 785 -109

    Iceland continues strong play at the top of Moneyball, winning the pennant and making it to the World Series. They were the tough luck 3rd team last relegation cycle and seem to be in a really good spot to promote this cycle. Meanwhile, will Germany do enough to win that second spot or will Venezuela hold them off? Moneyball is the division that needs to make the most moves in the offseason to keep their salary efficient, so it comes down to which team can do that most effectively.

    Iceland
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Dmitris KyriakouRookieTrade for Stephen Brannon84 SYKyriakou is a bullpen piece that came when Iceland dealt Brannon
    Kurt ColemanRookie1946 1st round pick (#19)94 FIColeman has great off-speed stuff but his endurance unfortunately relegates him to the pen
    Anthony KimpelRookie1946 1st round pick (#23)90 FIKimpel is a good groundball pitcher, but he’ll be a bullpen arm
    RF Steve ConnRookie1944 2nd round pick (#44)90 SLConn is a great pinch hitting bat with big time slugging potential and speed
    3B Jose EpleyRookie1944 1st round pick (#20)93 AREpley is a bit under developed and may be intriguing but will start his career on the bench

    -- Iceland is a well constructed team for the Moneyball limits, and has a heavily hit-for-average skewed lineup and an extreme groundball staff who benefit from a great defensive middle infield. Marcus Pritchett is a star headlining that rotation, and they will continue to be the team to beat in the division.

    South Korea
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Mark HammondRookie1944 1st round pick (#13)91 POHammond is a power arm who will get a shot at starting
    Roberto PortugalRookie1946 2nd round pick (#29)83 COPortugal is well developed for 22, but will be a bullpen arm
    Milos KatsarosRookie1943 2nd round pick (#25)78 COKatsaros was brought up too early for salary reasons, but he’ll get a shot in the pen and hope he develops

    --Korea had to make some salary moves and bring up some rookies. They have a good shortstop in Michael Boyd but otherwise a terrible defense and a pedestrian pitching staff behind John Purdom. The bad news is, they won’t make up much ground towards promotion. The good news is, they have a bunch of young players who can really hit, and may be good building blocks down the road.

    Canada
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    CF Lloyd PetitRookie1946 1st round pick (#3)84 BAPetit has a good looking bat, but still needs to develop his eye and pretty weak range for CF

    -- Canada made some cap moves and brought up a couple young players for salary reasons. Petit is the only one who will bring meaningful impact. They have two studs in rotation in Hugh Morgan and Marc Nielson, but they have arguably the worst defense in the league and way too many holes in the lineup, back of rotation, and pen. They will struggle with run production and supporting their pitchers and are certainly gunning for a top 5 pick.

    Germany
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    Wolfgang UnzigerRookie1945 1st round pick (#5)82 FIGermany brought up a prize rookie pitcher rather early. He looks good, but will he ever match his fantastic potential?

    --Germany brought up Unziger early for cap reasons, which may help them but hurt him in the long run. They have a very interesting team that does a little bit of everything well, but nothing at a top level. They have a power staff, which will strike out a lot of opponents, and they’ll look to stay in the race for second and promotion.

    Holland
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    LF Luis WarrenRookie1945 2nd round pick (#25)87 RAWarren is a good defensive outfielder who Holland will try in CF

    --Holland is an interesting case. They have no farm system, and a really good looking top 4 rotation and a strong hit-for-average lineup. However, they have a weak defense that will really hold them back and not a lot of light at the end of the tunnel in the push to promotion.

    Venezuela
    PlayerStatusHow acquired Key Stats Comments
    3B Eugenio SuarezRookie1944 1st round pick (#5)90 RASuarez is a fantastic defensive 3B with a good eye, and he can have an impact
    C Johnny GustavoRookie1944 2nd round pick (#29)90 ARGustavo is a strong armed backstop with a good eye- another impact role player
    German MarquezRookie1942 1st round pick(#16)84 FIMarquez is a bit underdeveloped but looks like a strong addition to the staff already

    --Venezuela is going to play and rely on their great defense this year. They brought up several impact rookies and have a decent although not star-studded staff. Their biggest issue will be providing run support for the staff, and they will struggle with that despite the best efforts of Melvin Mora.

    And now for my prediction of this year’s standings:
    Iceland 94-66
    Venezuela 88-72
    Germany 80-80
    South Korea 75-85
    Holland 70-90
    Canada 60-100
    Last edited by AndreltonSimmons; June 20, 2019 at 05:58 PM.
    "The other team could make trouble for us if they beat us" - Yogi Berra

    CWS:USC Trojans - 2 for 4 WS winners
    WBC: Czech Republic Nároďak - 1 for 4 WS winners, back to back promotions (2x), 0 relegations
    EP: Terramuggus Terracotta Terrapins
    GOAT 4: Twin Peaks Tatas

    --
    Former WS winning teams:
    Serengeti Wildebeests (MONEYBALL)
    K-Mart Blackbelts (LEG)

  5. #5

    Re: AS' 1987 Season Preview

    I can still see how people can get burned out. Really great stuff, just make sure not to strain


    Sent from my iPhone using CSFBL

  6. #6
    Join Date
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    Posts
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    Re: AS' 1987 Season Preview

    Great stuff! Excited for moneyball
    Happy, but a little lost
    Well, I don't know what I don't know so I'll kick my shoes off &run
     
    2016: 3,437-3,070 (.528) ~ 4 WS
    2017: 8,035-6,518 (.552) ~ 8 WS
    2018: 6,226-5,522 (.530) ~ 7 WS
    2019: 3 WS


    GOATLong Beach Losers(1994-)1997, 1998
    TCLMisty Mountain Hoppers(2101-)2109
    WBCVenezuela(1925-1932,1937-)1925, 1928, 1930, 1937, 1949
    XBAnaheim Aardvarks(2083) 
    EPSan Onofre(2002)2003
    CBFFerenginar(2114-2118,2130-)2132
    BrockToronto Marlies(1986-) 
    LEG-2045, 2046, 2047, 2051, 2054
    CarL-2022, 2027, 2031, 2032
    Dodgers-1953, 1955, 1966
    TML-1964, 1966, 1967, 1968, 1972, 1976, 1983, 1984
    Sweet-1886, 1888, 1891, 1892, 1897, 1898, 1900
    TDD-2106, 2107
    AA-2100
    ThrowB-2018
    TP-1983
    BD-2038
    AAA-2101

  7. #7

    Re: AS' 1987 Season Preview

    Nice job Jimjim.

  8. #8

    Re: AS' 1987 Season Preview

    Pretty accurate assessment of Argentina. We should score a ton of runs but need Otwell and Bates to rebound after down seasons to anchor an otherwise questionable bottom part of the rotation. As I was setting my batting order it really dawned on me how good this offense should be.

  9. #9
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    Re: AS' 1987 Season Preview

    Grrr I had the whole almost famous division done and the site kicked me out without saving any of the work like it normally does....
    "The other team could make trouble for us if they beat us" - Yogi Berra

    CWS:USC Trojans - 2 for 4 WS winners
    WBC: Czech Republic Nároďak - 1 for 4 WS winners, back to back promotions (2x), 0 relegations
    EP: Terramuggus Terracotta Terrapins
    GOAT 4: Twin Peaks Tatas

    --
    Former WS winning teams:
    Serengeti Wildebeests (MONEYBALL)
    K-Mart Blackbelts (LEG)

  10. #10
    Join Date
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    Re: AS' 1987 Season Preview

    Quote Originally Posted by AndreltonSimmons View Post
    Grrr I had the whole almost famous division done and the site kicked me out without saving any of the work like it normally does....
    Experience taught me that if I do anything long-form here, I write it off-site and the copy and paste.
    Spread the CSFBL love. Follow @Celtic_CSFBL and @csfbl.

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