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Thread: 2010 Season Discussion

  1. #1
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    2010 Season Discussion

    Saving the Best for Last?

    This might be the best Angora team of the sprint. Unfortunately we may end up around .500 and in third or fourth place again, but that seems to be life in the Toggenburg Division (see Divisonal/Conference stats courtesy of Vashon).

    It might be the best defense we've put together. It's at least as good as the one we drafted and played for the 2001-2002 seasons, before things came apart. Every one is playing the correct position this year (which is always helpful). Our RA in the infield, first to third, is 77-85-78-77. Outfield Left to Right is 94-65-60. So everyone is red. We will continue to give up too many SBs, unfortunately. A 90 for one of my Middle Infielders would REALLY help, but I think I've done the best I can.

    There's no Ace on the pitching staff, and there never has been. Instead, we are running out 5 guys who are #2/#3/#4 type starters. Last year's starters ERAs were 3.13, 3.64, 3.80, 3.83, and 4.15. That is usually enough to make a playoff run, but not here. Our team ERA was 3.78 last year, our defense is better, and our pitchers didn't show much sign of age-related wear, so our ERA should improve (assuming the quality of our opponents' lineups doesn't improve dramtically). Last year, we were 4th in the league in runs allowed, and 2nd in the division. Hoping to improve on that marginally.

    Last year, offensively, we were 16th in the league in runs scored with 668. That put us 5th in the division. Our best 2 hitters, who have been with us since day 1 of the sprint, are 1B Carlos Cross and LF/DH Larry Foster. Cross is 36, but he's aged fairly gracefully for a BA hitter. He got on base at a .396 clip last year, and had a .884 OPS. His ratings slipped some again, but he'll still get on base, and his 77 RA continues to look pretty good at 1B. Not as good as the 94 he peaked at, but still pretty good.

    One more thing on Cross: when I drafted him in the first round of the 25+ draft, my stated goal was to get 7-8 seasons of 200+ hits, and 7-8 gold gloves at 1B from him during the 10 year sprint. Well, I got only 5 200+ hit seasons (he had a 196 as well) but I did get 9 gold gloves in 9 seasons. And his OPS has only fallen below .860 once, and his OBP has only fallen below .389 once. I do sometimes question whether taking a 1B (even a Gold Glover) in the first round was wise, but he has done everything I could have expected from him.

    Larry Foster is 32, but he's aged like he's 35. He's probably still the best hitter on the team, but when I took him first in the 24 and under draft, I hoped he'd start fading around age 32, not age 29. Even with the slide, he's never had an OPS under .900 for me. Unfortuantely, this will probably be the first time for that.

    Two changes, based on FA signings: I picked up Jeremy Green to play RF for me instead of Kilkenny, Floyd. His RA is 20 points higher than Kilkenny, and he'll have more power and hopefully more offense...when he plays. Because, on the down side, as a low EN left hander he'll platoon, so the gains may be offset by sitting against lefties.

    I also got SS Allen Stowell as a PSFA. His defense should be similar to the guy he replaces, Hackett, Lawrence (an extra point or two of RA, a bit less GL and AR), but his DI and SL are both better, and he's got more EN, so he'll deliver more on both sides of the ball for me (partly by being in the lineup every day and not missing 1 game in 15).

    3B Warren, Ryan was transitioning from RF last year, so now that the change is made he should be better defensively. 2B Tucker, Carl has the same 85 RA he had last year, but at age 23 his offensive ratings improved (though they are still really, really bad). He was an awful .586 OPS last year (which is completely in line with his ratings) & he may improve to .600 this year.

    The rest of the lineup is unchanged.

    So, in summary, I expect to be a little better on both sides of the ball, which I hope is enough to bump me up from 3rd in the division to 2nd, which would give me my 2nd playoff appearance of the sprint. Unfortunately, the other teams in my division don't sit still & probably all improved as well...so I won't be suprised at all if I'm sitting around .500 again at the end of the season, and looking up at 3 or 4 teams ahead of me in the standings.

    BTW, So ready to try the next sprint...

    Cheers,
    Wayne
    WS Wins:
    MONEYBALL: 2035, 36, 37, 39, 54, 82
    Negro League Tribute: 1940, 65, 72, 75, 83, 87
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  2. #2
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    Re: 2010 Season Discussion

    Thanks for sharing wfn! Stowell+Green looked like very solid moves at the right price but I have no idea know how the division will shake out either--just great to see everyone still engaged.

  3. #3

    Re: 2010 Season Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by G Sparks View Post
    Thanks for sharing wfn! Stowell+Green looked like very solid moves at the right price but I have no idea know how the division will shake out either--just great to see everyone still engaged.
    Just about everyone has something to play for in this season. Anyone can slide up or down in the standings pretty easily.

  4. #4
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    Re: 2010 Season Discussion

    Aiken throws a CG SHO 1 hitter with 14 ks vs. DG..... nice way to open the season.

  5. #5
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    Re: 2010 Season Discussion

    Thanks for the season preview, Wayne. Should have another season of fierce competition in Toggenberg.

    Roshar was 7th in offense last year with 704 runs. We spent 12mil for a 91-71 BA-SL upgrade over a guy that was sub-.700 OPS last year. Between the new add and a second year guy going from 79->87 SL, I’m expecting maybe 750 runs from the offense this year.

    Pitching less impressive at 13th-ranked 4.16 ERA. Lost some RA off my elite 2B (first overall pick in the initial GOAT draft), but the new hitter has 94 RA in corner outfield compared to like 40 RA last year. I have lots of flyball pitchers, and even the FI guys usually have solid PO, so this is a big deal. Key to the whole thing may be SP Crossland. Guy was 11-18 5.14 ERA last year after two years in the 3.5 range. If he returns to form, we will have no weaknesses.

    Overall: very strong offense, deep starting pitching (3 guys of the 4-man rotation were 3.5 ERA last year, would be everyone if Crossland bounces back), and a closer off 2 straight sub-3 ERA seasons. I’m hoping for 100 wins and would honestly be disappointed with anything fewer than 95.
    CSFBL Ranking:2014 #16, 2015 #33, 2016 #11
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  6. #6
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    Re: 2010 Season Discussion

    In a rematch of last year’s divisional series, Roshar takes 3 of 4 against Seattle.

    $12 million dollar man Vasquez sporting a 1.200 OPS through the small sample size with a strong 2.50 RNG at his LF position.

    I noted in my season preview that the biggest wildcard of the whole season would be Carillo. He took the opening day loss with a 5 IP 5 ER start, so obviously a little concerned there. Still, Seattle is a good squad, so maybe he can do a little better as the schedule eases up.
    CSFBL Ranking:2014 #16, 2015 #33, 2016 #11
    Manager: Phoenix Roadrunners (1992-2035)
    -44 years: 41 winning, 33 P, 23 D, 14 C, 4 WS; Final Record 4130-2910 (94-66 average season)
    Coach: TAMU Aggies (1948-Present)
    -35 years: 27 winning, 24 P, 14 D, 11 C, 8 CWS
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    Manager: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2023-Present)
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    Manager: Storm's End Stags (1981-1990)
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  7. #7
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    Re: 2010 Season Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by G Sparks View Post
    Thanks for sharing wfn! Stowell+Green looked like very solid moves at the right price but I have no idea know how the division will shake out either--just great to see everyone still engaged.
    I haven't stopped trying throughout the whole 10 seasons of this painful sprint. I'd really like to go out on a high.

    I'm not sure why I've been so dissapointed with this team. I'm in 9th place in points, which is pretty good considering the quality of the competition. It's hard to verbalize, but I think the thing that has really bugged me is my perception that when I've had a season where I went in thinking I had a pretty good team, I seem to have bad luck with Pythagoras as well as underperformance of key players. And then on the flip side, when i've gone into a season expecting to do poorly, I get overperformance. Which leaves me in the murky middle right around .500 all the time. Which is the very worst place to be.

    Checking that theory, here is my yearly win total, starting in 2009 and working backward: 83, 79, 84, 79, 82, 73, 72, 96, 87.

    Seeing those numbers reminds me of what really made this sprint rough: Going from the illusion of 96 wins (higher than deserved) in 2002 to the lower than deserved 72 and 73 wins in 2003 and '04. That really made the rest of the sprint just seem like an effort in picking up the shattered pieces & scrambling to make the best of a bad situation. Which is not really the best way to manage a team, I'm sur eit lead to mistakes and missed opportunities. But what's done is done.

    Anyway, this is supposed to be a thread about the 2010 season, and I seem to have hijacked my own thread.

    So I'll end by saying: Good luck to everyone in 2010!

    Cheers,
    Wayne
    WS Wins:
    MONEYBALL: 2035, 36, 37, 39, 54, 82
    Negro League Tribute: 1940, 65, 72, 75, 83, 87
    Lawn Chair: 1990, 91, 92, 96
    Pacific Coast League: 1919, 25, 35, 36, 38, 40, 41
    Peter Gammons Memorial: 2011
    Spring Training: 1994, 97, 99, 10, 23, 27, 37, 39, 57, 63, 64
    Beer League: 1988, 90, 96, 07, 10, 17, 19, 21, 25, 26, 28, 37, 42
    MLB NewSchool: 2006, 11, 13, 14, 15, 34, 39, 42, 57, 62

    Despite the high cost of living, it remains quite popular.

  8. #8
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    Re: 2010 Season Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by wfn71 View Post
    I haven't stopped trying throughout the whole 10 seasons of this painful sprint. I'd really like to go out on a high.

    I'm not sure why I've been so dissapointed with this team. I'm in 9th place in points, which is pretty good considering the quality of the competition. It's hard to verbalize, but I think the thing that has really bugged me is my perception that when I've had a season where I went in thinking I had a pretty good team, I seem to have bad luck with Pythagoras as well as underperformance of key players. And then on the flip side, when i've gone into a season expecting to do poorly, I get overperformance. Which leaves me in the murky middle right around .500 all the time. Which is the very worst place to be.
    Luke has made some similar comments to me about his team. Toggenburgs divisional strength looks to have led to some very surprising/frustrating results year to year, and I magine some owners over in Boer would have similar feelings. We had two great divisions this sprint, and two not so great divisions too, which led the conferences to be almost evenly split. We have a plan in Goat 4 to somewhat lessen divisional balance issues, but in the meantime I think/hope our divisional adjustment points worked better this sprint than last.

  9. #9
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    Re: 2010 Season Discussion

    One issue i see for my team is im gonna be on the outside looking in at top 5 categories and im not sure the div adj has any way to make that up to me. Im like soo close for wins and rundiff, but we hav some ground to make up. We obviously dont deserve a top 3 spot at the end, but top 5 bonuses woulda been nice
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  10. #10
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    Re: 2010 Season Discussion

    Roshar gets another sweep. 12 straight wins on the road.

    Closer Woodard perfect through 11 innings to earn 7 saves and 2 wins. Bullpen is super dicey outside of him (6.69 ERA combined for the rest), but it’s nice having a reliable stopgap.
    CSFBL Ranking:2014 #16, 2015 #33, 2016 #11
    Manager: Phoenix Roadrunners (1992-2035)
    -44 years: 41 winning, 33 P, 23 D, 14 C, 4 WS; Final Record 4130-2910 (94-66 average season)
    Coach: TAMU Aggies (1948-Present)
    -35 years: 27 winning, 24 P, 14 D, 11 C, 8 CWS
    -Current Prestige Ranking: #6/24 (based on prior 4 seasons)
    Manager: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2023-Present)
    -36 years: 26 winning, 26 P, 20 D, 13 C, 9 WS
    Manager: Antarctica Antediluvian Anteaters (1981-Present)
    -18 years: 15 winning, 12 playoffs, 9 D, 5 C, 4 WS
    Manager: Storm's End Stags (1981-1990)
    -10 years: 8 winning, 8 playoffs, 4 D, 2 C, 1 WS
    Manager: Warsaw Winged Hussars (1991-Present)
    -6 years: 4 winning, 4 playoffs, 3 D, 2 C
    Coach: Miami Hurricanes (1964-1989)
    -23 years: 12 winning, 10 P, 3 D, 2 CWS

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